Resource centre
Trading prediction markets, simplified
A practical guide to understanding prediction markets — how they work, how to trade them, and what the rules look like in Canada.
Start with the basics
What are prediction markets?
Here's how prediction markets actually work, from the contracts you trade to the returns you earn.
The A-to-Y glossary
From arbitrage to yes shares, here's every prediction market term defined in plain language.
The main market types
A breakdown of the prediction market types available in Canada and beyond.
Event contracts 101
How event contracts work, how they differ from other derivatives, and why probability matters more than luck.
How prediction markets compare
Prediction markets share some DNA with futures and options, but the differences matter. Here's how they stack up.
Spot the opportunities
Turning prices into probabilities
Behind every contract price is a hidden probability. Here's how to find it — and what it tells you.
Find the gap, find the value
Learn how to estimate true probability, calculate expected value, and trade with discipline instead of gut feeling.
Trade smart, manage risk
Whether you're protecting your portfolio or trading prediction markets directly, learn the risks and how to manage them.
Legal and tax essentials
The rules of the road in Canada
A look at what's allowed, what's not, and who's enforcing the rules.
What to know before tax time
Yes, your prediction market gains are likely taxable. Here's what Canadian investors need to know.